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Israel’s Stakes in Kabylie’s Declaration of Independence (JISS)
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Today (December 14, 2025), representatives of the Kabyle people are expected to proclaim the independence of Kabylia, a mountainous region in northern Algeria. Kabylia is home to around 3.5 million inhabitants, with its own language, culture, and historical identity. The declaration, taking place in Paris, will be largely symbolic: Kabylia does not control territory, and no major power has endorsed its claim.
Yet symbolism matters.
The Kabyle people are part of the Amazigh (Berber) civilization, indigenous to North Africa long before the Arab-Muslim conquests of the seventh century. Like the Jews, they possess a distinct language, collective memory, and continuous attachment to their ancestral land. And like the Jews, they have long struggled against Arab conquest and Muslim imperialism.
What makes Kabylia’s case stand out today is its method. The independence movement, led by the Movement for the Self-Determination of Kabylia (MAK) and its government-in-exile, explicitly rejects violence. It advances its claims through political organization, international law, and appeals to democratic norms, not through terrorism or armed struggle.
In a world where violence often attracts attention and legitimacy, this distinction should matter.
From a narrow diplomatic perspective, Israel has little to lose. Algeria is already among Israel’s most hostile adversaries and maintains no diplomatic relations with it. Silence brings Israel no benefit.
From a strategic standpoint, however, Kabylia fits within Israel’s historic periphery strategy: the idea that Israel should cultivate ties with non-Arab, non-Islamist peoples on the margins of the Middle East and North Africa who share an interest in pluralism, secular governance, and resistance to authoritarian Arab nationalism and political Islam. This logic once guided Israel’s engagement with Kurds, Maronites, and others. Kabylia belongs in that same category. Ignoring it out of reflexive caution reflects not realism, but strategic inertia.
There is also a political reality Israel should acknowledge. Ferhat Mehenni, the president of Kabylia’s government-in-exile, has repeatedly and publicly expressed support for Israel, including at moments when doing so carried real personal and political risk. Such clarity is rare in North Africa. Israel often laments the absence of voices in the region willing to defend its legitimacy openly. When such a voice exists, it should at least be recognized.
Kabylia also exposes a broader double-standard in international politics. The same international community that overwhelmingly supports Palestinian statehood despite the Palestinians’ weak historical case, lack of political cohesion, and longstanding use and glorification of terrorism, largely ignores the Kabyles. The contrast is stark. The Palestinians are rewarded diplomatically despite decades of violence. The Kabyles are sidelined despite pursuing their aspirations through peaceful, legal, and democratic means. Israel, more than most countries, understands how damaging this inversion of norms has been.
Israel’s response to Kabylia must take regional dynamics into account, particularly Morocco, with which Israel enjoys a special and growing relationship. Morocco does not officially support Kabylia’s independence, nor has it recognized any Kabyle political entity. Like most states, Rabat formally upholds the principle of territorial integrity.
At the same time, Morocco has deliberately raised the Kabyle issue in international forums as part of its rivalry with Algeria, especially in response to Algeria’s support for the Polisario Front in Western Sahara. By highlighting Kabylie, Morocco has sought to expose what it sees as Algeria’s double standards: supporting separatism abroad while suppressing it at home.
This position is best understood as strategic signaling, not endorsement. For Israel, that distinction matters. A carefully framed Israeli stance, grounded in principles, not recognition, would not contradict Morocco’s position and should be coordinated with Rabat, not avoided altogether.
Leadership does not require Israel to recognize Kabylia today. International stability and alliances matter. But leadership does require moral clarity.
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The UN Security Council has now endorsed President Donald Trump’s 20-point plan for Gaza, granting international legitimacy to a cease-fire architecture designed in Washington. The resolution, adopted with 13 votes in favor and only Russia and China abstaining, authorizes an International Stabilization Force in Gaza and lays out a conditional roadmap toward Palestinian self-determination.
This is an unfamiliar diplomatic moment for Israel: The United Nations is not condemning Israel but rather backing a US-led plan that includes demilitarizing Hamas, reconstructing Gaza under international oversight, and preventing a return to the status quo ante. At first glance, this looks like a strategic win. But the fine print matters, and so does the regional context.
Russia and China did not veto the resolution. Instead, they abstained, warning against what they described as “complete control” over Gaza being placed under a US-dominated structure, with insufficient transparency and unclear UN oversight. Their message is clear: they will tolerate this arrangement for now, but they remain wary of Washington consolidating authority in the Middle East. Their abstention avoids alienating Arab partners while preserving leverage over future phases of the process.
For Israel, the demilitarization mandate is substantial. Since 2005, every attempt to improve life in Gaza has collapsed on the anvil of Hamas’s military buildup. The new International Stabilization Force is explicitly tasked with dismantling that threat, not merely containing it.
If this is done thoroughly, Israel’s southern border could finally gain durable security without indefinite IDF control over two million Gazans.
Yet embedded within the resolution is language that could eventually constrain Israel’s strategic freedom of action: a “pathway” toward Palestinian statehood is indeed conditional, but it is now anchored in a binding Security Council resolution. Israel has always insisted that territorial and political arrangements must follow rather than precede ironclad security guarantees. That conditionality must now be defended at every stage.
Israel will also need to guard against mission creep. The “Board of Peace” steering governance in Gaza with the US at the helm could evolve into a body claiming authority over key security prerogatives. Israel must ensure the ISF operates as a partner, not a replacement for Israeli defense planning.
The regional chessboard is shifting as well. On the eve of the resolution, Trump announced his intention to approve the sale of advanced F-35 stealth fighters to Saudi Arabia. If tied to normalization, this could reshape Middle Eastern security in ways Israel has dreamed of for decades. But if handed to Riyadh with no strategic quid pro quo, it risks eroding Israel’s qualitative military edge, the bedrock of its deterrence.
That is the real test ahead: ensuring the Gaza track and the Saudi track reinforce each other, rather than creating new vulnerabilities. Washington would like to see Israel accept a more formal political horizon for the Palestinians in exchange for deeper regional integration.
So what should Israel do?
First, make demilitarization non-negotiable and front-loaded. No reconstruction funds before every tunnel and every launcher is dismantled.
Second, insist on operational coordination with the ISF at all levels: intelligence, border control, and rules of engagement.
Third, tie any progress on the political track for Palestinians to explicit and verifiable benchmarks, not vague promises of “readiness.”
Finally, press the US to synchronize regional diplomacy: Israeli-Saudi normalization must not be delayed until the final stage. It should be the engine and not the reward of this new architecture.
The UNSC’s endorsement of the Trump plan constitutes a mixed blessing at best. Israel should be proactive to make sure that Resolution 2803 leads to a safer Gaza border and to a stronger regional coalition.
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